What is stock market speculation?
It sounds attractive to make a lot of profit on the stock market in a short period of time, but is it really that easy? It is indeed possible to make large profits in a short period of time by speculating. However, this is countered by a high risk, which means that the chance of large losses is also real. In this article you will learn more about speculation and what the differences are between speculation and (traditional) investing.
What is speculation?
A speculator plays on short-term price changes with the aim of making a lot of profit as quickly as possible. Speculators trade on the stock exchange with a short time span in order to profit from short-term fluctuations. Short term can mean weeks, days, hours or even minutes. Because it is done in the short term, keeping an eye on the price is important.

This is how speculation works
It is almost impossible to predict the market in the short term, at least not consistently. For this reason, speculation is often compared to gambling. The chance that the value of a share will rise in the short term is practically the same as that it will fall. It is not very difficult to time the market, but speculators try anyway. They want to achieve a higher return than average and beat the market.
However, to do this, they take a great risk. It is difficult to predict the market in a short period of time. As a result, speculators run the risk of a large profit or a large loss. In general, speculators do not invest in direct investment products, such as shares or bonds, but opt for leveraged products such as CFDs . With CFDs, they can go both long and short.
Whoever goes long , assumes a price increase. When opening a short position , this is the other way around and the trader assumes a price decrease. Leverage makes it possible to make a lot of profit with a small investment. The other way around, this works the same: do you predict the direction incorrectly? Then you usually lose your investment immediately. In addition, you can lose more than the investment with some speculative products.
Example of speculation
Suppose you have €250 and want to speculate. You expect the ABC share to increase in value. You buy the security with a leverage of 10, which increases both your profit and loss by a factor of 10. If the share increases by 3%, this means that you as a speculator can quickly turn your €250 into €325. This works as follows: (250/100) x 3 = €7.50 x 10 (leverage) = €75 profit. Of course, this can also have a negative effect. In this example, if the share decreases by 10%, you will lose your entire investment.
When you want to speculate, there are a number of things to look out for. When you invest in shares, you often research the figures behind the company. What about the growth opportunities and the financial health of the company? This analysis method works well for long-term trading. However, for short-term trades, you need to analyze the shares you have in mind in a different way. Here, you mainly use technical analysis.
Emotions play an important role in the short term. The vast majority of traders are not professionals, which means they react quite emotionally to global developments. The recent corona pandemic is a good example of this. In a period of a few weeks, you saw stock prices fall by tens of percent. For speculators, this is an opportunity. They buy shares because they expect prices to bounce back quickly or place a sell order if they expect the bottom is not yet in sight.
Understanding Psychology as a Speculator
Do you want to become good at speculating? Then it is advisable to delve into human nature. By understanding more about the natural risk aversion of most people, you can use this in a smart way. For example, bad news can have a great influence on the behavior of many investors. Many investors will want to get rid of their shares because of the bad news and this can cause the price to drop. As a speculator, you keep a close eye on the news and possible behavior! In addition, as a professional trader you can choose to apply technical analysis. This is a tool that can help you determine the best entry moments.

Manage your risks
When you start speculating, it is even more important that you learn to manage the risks well. You have lost as soon as you lose all the money in your account. Especially with leveraged products, this is a real risk. For this reason, it is advisable to manage the account that you use to speculate as a business. This way, you remove your own emotion from the trades and make decisions based on figures and data. Determine in advance the maximum amount you can lose per investment and use a stop loss on every position. This ensures that you reduce the chance that you will lose your entire investment because you have executed a few bad trades.
A stop-loss order ensures that an investor’s loss on a position is limited. Anyone can use a stop-loss. As soon as a stock reaches a certain price, it is automatically bought or sold. For example, if you set a stop-loss order of 5 percent below the price at which you bought the stock, your loss is limited to 5 percent.
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