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Weekly update: Party at Aandelenondereentientje!

The stock markets are still very strong. Investors are realizing that the global economy is doing better than previously feared. This is making the chance of a recession smaller and investors can happily invest their hard-earned money again. We also see this reflected in the growing number of subscribers to Aandelenondereentientje, investing in shares under ten euros – penny stocks – is becoming increasingly popular! We have a number of nice homeruns in the portfolio.

This week was an exciting week with no less than two interest rate decisions from America and Europe. In America, the interest rate was increased by 0.25% and in Europe by 0.50%. These interest rate decisions were already priced in by investors and the stock markets continue to find their way up. Positive news is also that European inflation is falling significantly to an annual inflation of 8.5%, where an inflation of 9.2% was expected. The Shares Under a Tenner portfolio is doing very well this week with many risers and that sets the tone for the entire year as far as we are concerned.

We have a new stock on the shelf and are busy with the layout. The stock costs about 85 cents and we have, if we say so ourselves, a good substantiation. Whether you buy an expensive or cheap stock, the analysis must always be sound and in-depth, that is what you can expect from us and that is why you are also a subscriber. You can expect the analysis soon. Read it carefully and check whether you agree with us, because you are ultimately the one who makes the decisions. Time to discuss our portfolio news. For example, we are selling a part of our shares in Algoma Steel Group.

Wallet

Algoma Steel Group Inc.:  This share went faster than expected! It won’t be long before this share is no longer listed under ten euros, because the price has been rising for the past few weeks and is ‘still going strong’. Subscribers to Aandelenondereentientje have already made more than 30% profit on the share! It seems that this share is increasingly coming onto the radar of banks and it was about time! The growing company has been listed on the stock exchange for a year and a half, while the company has been around for over 100 years. Unknown makes unloved. Algoma Steel is making nice profits. We are going to be strategic and  sell 250 of the 400 shares  at around $8.48. That means a nice profit of 33% from our purchase price of $6.34 or $2.14 per share! We are then left with 150 shares and these will only cost us the equivalent of $2.77 per share. With these remaining shares we will seek the golden mountains and let them rise to levels that belong to shares  above  ten euros. For novice investors, this strategic thinking may require some calculation. Do this calmly and deliberately; those who are not strong must be smart.

1M Algoma Steel Group share price history. Source:  Google .

REC Silicon ASA:  is considering reopening its already closed factory and the share price shot up 27% on this news, a good start to higher prices. The Norwegian producer of silane gas (used in the production of solar energy) announced a 10-year agreement with Hanwha Solutions, under which they will purchase the successful product FBR polysilicon. This purchase of large production levels like this has been a condition for the reopening of the already closed REC Silicon factory in Moses Lake. The purchase with Hanwha Solutions offers REC Silicon the necessary certainty to restart the closed factory in Moses Lake in order to gain a large market share in America. With this, the company makes large quantities of high-quality, ethically produced and low-carbon solar energy available, for which there is a strong demand. This will allow REC Silicon to grow even further, which has made the analyst team at Aandelenondereentientje even more enthusiastic about this share and we therefore maintain a strong buy recommendation on this promising share.

News item REC Silicon deal with Hanwha.

ITM Power Plc:  the price of this volatile but promising share is like a bouncing ball. After the annual peak of around £4, the price has slipped back to a price of around £1 and we gave it a buy recommendation at the time. Fortunately, the price is now higher and rose by more than 10% today! The slipping price was caused by the management having to temporarily suspend the construction of a new factory, due to a challenging and uncertain market. As a result, the management has appointed a new CEO to keep the company on track and our team of analysts believes that if the new CEO delivers on all plans, the price can rise again. However, it is possible that we will also jump rope on this volatile price in the meantime. We will then email you this without delay. The new CEO is already taking good steps, because they are going to reduce the workforce by a quarter to significantly reduce costs, which will lead to a cost saving of £9 million per year.

Finally, below is the portfolio overview.

Portfolio overview February 2, 2023. We are selling 250 of the 400 shares of Algoma Steel Group.

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Analyse

We jump on the moving train…!

Yesterday we saw Avantium shares bounce back after a buy recommendation was issued. We are not hesitating, but are jumping on the train that has just started moving. The share has suffered greatly due to a large issue in which approximately €70 million was raised. Investors were disappointed and the price has collapsed! But what investors are overlooking in their frustration is that Avantium’s management has raised more than enough capital to finish their flagship, the FDCA factory in Delfzijl.  A number of very large companies have committed to purchasing the promising bioplastic or to producing it under license. This indicates that this is a potentially groundbreaking product. The share is trading almost at its lowest point of the year and now that the financial position is in order for the foreseeable future, the risk-return ratio seems to have improved to such an extent that speculative investors can consider an investment. According to the initial planning, the FDCA plant in Delfzijl should be operational by the end of 2023, but the misery on the labor market – combined with the sharp increase in inflation – threw a spanner in the works. Not only did the delivery date have to be postponed (to the second half of 2024), but additional financing was also needed. With the completion of the recent €70 million issue, the financing is now completely in place; management expects to have sufficient liquidity well beyond the moment that the plant will be operational. If the plant in Delfzijl is successfully operational in the second half of the year, management expects to be able to achieve a turnover of around €100 million in 2026, with the EBITDA coming in around zero. This means that from that moment on, no more money will be spent – ​​and Avantium therefore no longer needs to issue shares. In addition to two neutral recommendations, all other analysts have the share on “Buy”. The lowest and highest price targets are €2.40 and €9.57 respectively. The average price target is €5.24. Once the construction of the factory in Delfzijl is completed, it will be the first commercial FDCA factory in the world. If it succeeds before the end of the year, the share price will undoubtedly attract a lot of interest with sharply rising prices. Avantium has a market capitalization of only €170 million at the current price, but anyone who knows that the potential market is hundreds of billions also knows that there is a lot to be gained for the speculator. According to our expectation, the share price potential is between 100 and 400%, because if the FDCA factory in Delfzijl lives up to expectations, price targets of well above €10 can quickly be considered. We buy 1200 shares at €2.30 each.  Author has position

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Update

We bought Deceuninck for €2.27: Discover the latest developments

In this video, Rick van Zelst discusses Deceuninck stock, a leading company in the plastics sector. Sharesunderonetientje bought this stock at €2.27, and now it is around €2.45. Thanks to an optimized production process and signs of recovery in demand for plastics production, Deceuninck offers potential for significant margin improvement. Is this stock still worth it for your portfolio? Watch the video and judge for yourself!

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Update

Today we saw another increase on our top purchase, which now brings us towards a 25% profit.

HelloFresh (HELFY) saw a remarkable 13% rise on the Frankfurt stock exchange after announcing its second-quarter results that beat expectations. Despite a 3.1% drop in orders to 28.9 million and a 3.5% drop in meal deliveries to 243.8 million, the company still managed to impress. This was thanks to an impressive 5.4% increase in average order value to €67.10, which more than offset the volume declines. The Berlin-based company highlighted that this was the twelfth consecutive quarter of growth in average order value. This growth was mainly driven by a higher contribution from ready-to-eat products, an increase in premium and customizable meals, and a broader inclusion of market items. In addition, HelloFresh reduced price incentives in several product categories. HelloFresh also took significant steps to improve its production capacity, which however resulted in one-time, non-cash write-downs of €45 million in the first half of 2024, of which €32 million in the second quarter. Despite a 23% year-on-year decline in adjusted EBITDA to €146.4 million, the consensus estimate of €123 million was exceeded. Stocksunder100 see HelloFresh’s Ready-to-Eat (RTE) business performing strongly, now accounting for around a quarter of total group revenue. Free cash flow also remains strong, despite the second quarter historically being a period of lower volume. If you’ve already stocked up big, it may be wise to take a small portion of the profits. However, we believe the stock has even more potential and therefore choose to hold the full position.

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