Weekly update: US inflation in line with expectations

The stock markets remain in the “winning mood”. The American inflation figures have been processed so far and, as we saw earlier, they can cause considerable price fluctuations. The reason for the sharply rising stock markets was mainly due to weakening inflation worldwide. American inflation fell last month, but as expected and came to an annual inflation of 6.5%. The monthly core inflation did rise to 0.3%, but this was also in line with expectations. According to our team of analysts, the stagnating inflation figures could well mean the end of the sharply falling inflation and we doubt whether this downward trend will continue.

The stock markets are very much ahead of the facts and if inflation starts to rise again in the coming period, the stock markets could take another big hit. Our team of analysts is therefore very curious to see how the FED views these inflation figures and whether interest rates will actually be raised significantly. Our team of analysts thinks so, but predicts a falling interest rate towards the end of this year. The American banks kick off with the figures for the fourth quarter season on Friday afternoon and that could still cause some movement. They indicated that they expect a recession, which makes them take a sober view. This is in contrast to Shares Under a Tenner, because our team of analysts has once again set their sights on promising shares under a tenner and we expect that 2023 will be the best year ever for subscribers of Shares Under a Tenner!

For those investors who still hold Smiths News shares, congratulations on the nice profits and dividend received. The Aandelenondereentientje team may enter this share later if the share price drops further, otherwise we are out of luck and enjoy the decent profits and dividends we have already received.

Time to discuss our portfolio. For example, we are selling a third of our position in Venture Life Group plc.

Wallet

Allied Gaming & Entertainment Inc: In our opinion, this stock has been unfairly punished after the company announced that it will focus more broadly than just the “Esports” branch. The company wants to do this by focusing on the entire gaming sector and has therefore implemented a name change. Investors do not like new things that bring uncertainty and therefore sold Allied shares en masse. Our team of analysts believes that management has taken a good step with this and expects a real comeback of this stock this year. The new year has already started well, because the price has already risen around 30% in one month! Hats off to those who stayed behind. We are holding on to the shares firmly.

*Allied Gaming & Entertainment share price recovery in the past month. Source: Google .*

Venture Life Group plc: With this beautiful share we have made another great homerun of around 50%. We are going to sell 2500 shares and the 5000 shares that we keep will be a lot cheaper. The price jump started with the news that Venture Life Group has acquired the company HL Healthcare , which has given them three new successful ear, nose and throat labels. The price continues to rise and at the time of writing is even 7% higher. We are not alone in our view, other analysts predict an average expected price increase of around 90% to GBX 72.

*Opinions of other analysts for Venture Life Group. Source: Reuters.*

Rolls Royce Holdings plc: The share has now crept above 100p. Our expectations are high and we are not thinking about realising the profits yet. We feel more than fine with this share!

REC Silicon ASA: What a bouncy ball this stock is. When we emailed the analysis of this stock, a message came out that the Korean company Hanwha took a 16.67% stake in this Norwegian company, which was a kick-off for starting up factories in the United States. The Korean Hanwha sees a lot of growth opportunities in America and is even investing $2.5 billion in the American solar energy supply chain. This is an important step for the solar energy companies and we expect the Norwegian company REC Silicon to benefit greatly from this. Subscribers who do not yet have shares in REC Silicon can still safely step into this bouncy ball.

*News item Qcells investment in the US solar supply chain.*

Finally, the portfolio overview

We have a small portfolio now, but we are going to change that! We expect more fireworks in the coming period and want to score this year. A mobile stock exchange can help us perfectly with that, so fasten your seat belts.

*Portfolio overview January 12, 2023. We are selling 2,500 shares of Venture Life Group plc.*

Verder lezen?

Dit artikel is alleen voor abonnees van Aandelen Onder Een Tientje. Indien u nog geen abonnee bent, overweegt u dan ook een abonnement.

Join thousands of others?

Become a member now and get instant access to our entire platform.

The value we offer:

Remarcable 29% profit in 2024
Get all analyses of stocks under a tenner
Get insight into our current portfolio
Receive weekly updates on our portfolio
Ask your general questions about our portfolio

Lees ook

No posts found!

Analyse

We jump on the moving train…!

Yesterday we saw Avantium shares bounce back after a buy recommendation was issued. We are not hesitating, but are jumping on the train that has just started moving. The share has suffered greatly due to a large issue in which approximately €70 million was raised. Investors were disappointed and the price has collapsed! But what investors are overlooking in their frustration is that Avantium’s management has raised more than enough capital to finish their flagship, the FDCA factory in Delfzijl. A number of very large companies have committed to purchasing the promising bioplastic or to producing it under license. This indicates that this is a potentially groundbreaking product. The share is trading almost at its lowest point of the year and now that the financial position is in order for the foreseeable future, the risk-return ratio seems to have improved to such an extent that speculative investors can consider an investment. According to the initial planning, the FDCA plant in Delfzijl should be operational by the end of 2023, but the misery on the labor market – combined with the sharp increase in inflation – threw a spanner in the works. Not only did the delivery date have to be postponed (to the second half of 2024), but additional financing was also needed. With the completion of the recent €70 million issue, the financing is now completely in place; management expects to have sufficient liquidity well beyond the moment that the plant will be operational. If the plant in Delfzijl is successfully operational in the second half of the year, management expects to be able to achieve a turnover of around €100 million in 2026, with the EBITDA coming in around zero. This means that from that moment on, no more money will be spent – and Avantium therefore no longer needs to issue shares. In addition to two neutral recommendations, all other analysts have the share on “Buy”. The lowest and highest price targets are €2.40 and €9.57 respectively. The average price target is €5.24. Once the construction of the factory in Delfzijl is completed, it will be the first commercial FDCA factory in the world. If it succeeds before the end of the year, the share price will undoubtedly attract a lot of interest with sharply rising prices. Avantium has a market capitalization of only €170 million at the current price, but anyone who knows that the potential market is hundreds of billions also knows that there is a lot to be gained for the speculator. According to our expectation, the share price potential is between 100 and 400%, because if the FDCA factory in Delfzijl lives up to expectations, price targets of well above €10 can quickly be considered. We buy 1200 shares at €2.30 each. Author has position

Lees verder >

03/04/2025

Update

We bought Deceuninck for €2.27: Discover the latest developments

In this video, Rick van Zelst discusses Deceuninck stock, a leading company in the plastics sector. Sharesunderonetientje bought this stock at €2.27, and now it is around €2.45. Thanks to an optimized production process and signs of recovery in demand for plastics production, Deceuninck offers potential for significant margin improvement. Is this stock still worth it for your portfolio? Watch the video and judge for yourself!

Lees verder >

03/04/2025

Update

Today we saw another increase on our top purchase, which now brings us towards a 25% profit.

HelloFresh (HELFY) saw a remarkable 13% rise on the Frankfurt stock exchange after announcing its second-quarter results that beat expectations. Despite a 3.1% drop in orders to 28.9 million and a 3.5% drop in meal deliveries to 243.8 million, the company still managed to impress. This was thanks to an impressive 5.4% increase in average order value to €67.10, which more than offset the volume declines. The Berlin-based company highlighted that this was the twelfth consecutive quarter of growth in average order value. This growth was mainly driven by a higher contribution from ready-to-eat products, an increase in premium and customizable meals, and a broader inclusion of market items. In addition, HelloFresh reduced price incentives in several product categories. HelloFresh also took significant steps to improve its production capacity, which however resulted in one-time, non-cash write-downs of €45 million in the first half of 2024, of which €32 million in the second quarter. Despite a 23% year-on-year decline in adjusted EBITDA to €146.4 million, the consensus estimate of €123 million was exceeded. Stocksunder100 see HelloFresh’s Ready-to-Eat (RTE) business performing strongly, now accounting for around a quarter of total group revenue. Free cash flow also remains strong, despite the second quarter historically being a period of lower volume. If you’ve already stocked up big, it may be wise to take a small portion of the profits. However, we believe the stock has even more potential and therefore choose to hold the full position.

Lees verder >

03/04/2025

4.3/5