Weekly update: Another home run!

Jerome Powell indicated in his speech last week that US inflation will fall sharply this year. Powell did say that interest rates could be raised more than the market expects if employment figures or inflation turn out to be higher than expected. The markets were therefore watching today’s US inflation figure with all their eyes. Annual inflation came in higher than expected at 6.4%, versus the expected inflation of 6.2%. The StocksUnderOneTenner team is therefore curious to see whether Powell will be right and whether inflation will actually fall sharply.

The stock markets will react strongly to these kinds of figures in the coming times. According to the Aandelenondereentientje team, investors should not try to squeeze the last drop out of the barrel, because then they will often get the lid on their nose. The analyst team of Aandelenondereentientje focuses much more on the annual figures of companies and the expectations they give. We believe that this will allow us to avoid the negative market sentiment. One idea is that if you have a lot of profit on a position, you can decide to cash half of it. Then you can use the other half to search for the tops of the profit mountain.

The year has started off very strong for all of us. What our analyst team is excited about are the shares under a tenner that rose sharply, such as SunLink Health Systems and BP ! We will soon come up with a new analysis of a share under a tenner. However, we would like to point out that you should limit your order, because it is a share with a market capitalization of €200 million, part of which is in stable hands. Time to discuss our portfolio.

Wallet

SunLink Health Systems : is the rightful winner of the Sharesunderatenner portfolio. You all received the analysis of this share and those who limited their order are already shining with a plus in the portfolio. The share is already more than 20% in the plus at the price we have them in the books for. The analyst team of Sharesunderatenner expects a comeback of this share and uses a higher price target. We are therefore holding the shares.

*1M SunLink Health Systems share price performance. Source: Google .*

BP: the share price of this beautiful oil giant got a huge boost due to great figures and positive outlook . The share is now trading at its highest point in the past four years, which we are very happy about! The group booked a record profit of $27.7 billion last year, versus a profit of $12.8 billion a year earlier. This was mainly due to the high energy prices. The company is rewarding its shareholders enormously and is increasing the quarterly dividend by 10%. In addition, the oil giant also announced a share buyback of more than $2.75 billion. As if this was not enough, BP also reduced its debt to $21.4 billion last year. BP is also taking steps to make the world cleaner and greener, for example it wants to reduce the production of hydrocarbons and have 50 gigawatts of renewable energy in 2030. It is increasing oil and gas production and has lowered the target to reduce emissions. “We need continued investment in the current energy system – which is dependent on oil and gas – in the short term to meet today’s demands and ensure an orderly transition,” said BP’s CEO. The team at SharesUnderOneTenty expects the entire sector to remain positive and considers BP to be one of the better stocks in this sector. We therefore opt to hold the stock.

*1M BP share price history. Source: Google .*

Nokia: the share price of this Finnish company has been swaying lately and according to the Aandelenondereentientje team, that is very unfair! The company is growing steadily and showed neat figures again . The group grew by 6% last year to a net turnover of €25 billion. The profit per share also rose to no less than €0.75 compared to a WPA of €0.29 a year earlier. With these good figures, Nokia also wants to reward the shareholders considerably and is increasing the dividend by more than 40% to a dividend of €0.12 per share. The Aandelenondereentientje team can therefore do nothing but state that this share should be a ‘must have investment’ in every portfolio and is holding on to the shares.

*1M Nokia share price performance. Source: Google .*

Finally, the portfolio overview:

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Analyse

We jump on the moving train…!

Yesterday we saw Avantium shares bounce back after a buy recommendation was issued. We are not hesitating, but are jumping on the train that has just started moving. The share has suffered greatly due to a large issue in which approximately €70 million was raised. Investors were disappointed and the price has collapsed! But what investors are overlooking in their frustration is that Avantium’s management has raised more than enough capital to finish their flagship, the FDCA factory in Delfzijl. A number of very large companies have committed to purchasing the promising bioplastic or to producing it under license. This indicates that this is a potentially groundbreaking product. The share is trading almost at its lowest point of the year and now that the financial position is in order for the foreseeable future, the risk-return ratio seems to have improved to such an extent that speculative investors can consider an investment. According to the initial planning, the FDCA plant in Delfzijl should be operational by the end of 2023, but the misery on the labor market – combined with the sharp increase in inflation – threw a spanner in the works. Not only did the delivery date have to be postponed (to the second half of 2024), but additional financing was also needed. With the completion of the recent €70 million issue, the financing is now completely in place; management expects to have sufficient liquidity well beyond the moment that the plant will be operational. If the plant in Delfzijl is successfully operational in the second half of the year, management expects to be able to achieve a turnover of around €100 million in 2026, with the EBITDA coming in around zero. This means that from that moment on, no more money will be spent – and Avantium therefore no longer needs to issue shares. In addition to two neutral recommendations, all other analysts have the share on “Buy”. The lowest and highest price targets are €2.40 and €9.57 respectively. The average price target is €5.24. Once the construction of the factory in Delfzijl is completed, it will be the first commercial FDCA factory in the world. If it succeeds before the end of the year, the share price will undoubtedly attract a lot of interest with sharply rising prices. Avantium has a market capitalization of only €170 million at the current price, but anyone who knows that the potential market is hundreds of billions also knows that there is a lot to be gained for the speculator. According to our expectation, the share price potential is between 100 and 400%, because if the FDCA factory in Delfzijl lives up to expectations, price targets of well above €10 can quickly be considered. We buy 1200 shares at €2.30 each. Author has position

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03/04/2025

Update

We bought Deceuninck for €2.27: Discover the latest developments

In this video, Rick van Zelst discusses Deceuninck stock, a leading company in the plastics sector. Sharesunderonetientje bought this stock at €2.27, and now it is around €2.45. Thanks to an optimized production process and signs of recovery in demand for plastics production, Deceuninck offers potential for significant margin improvement. Is this stock still worth it for your portfolio? Watch the video and judge for yourself!

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03/04/2025

Update

Today we saw another increase on our top purchase, which now brings us towards a 25% profit.

HelloFresh (HELFY) saw a remarkable 13% rise on the Frankfurt stock exchange after announcing its second-quarter results that beat expectations. Despite a 3.1% drop in orders to 28.9 million and a 3.5% drop in meal deliveries to 243.8 million, the company still managed to impress. This was thanks to an impressive 5.4% increase in average order value to €67.10, which more than offset the volume declines. The Berlin-based company highlighted that this was the twelfth consecutive quarter of growth in average order value. This growth was mainly driven by a higher contribution from ready-to-eat products, an increase in premium and customizable meals, and a broader inclusion of market items. In addition, HelloFresh reduced price incentives in several product categories. HelloFresh also took significant steps to improve its production capacity, which however resulted in one-time, non-cash write-downs of €45 million in the first half of 2024, of which €32 million in the second quarter. Despite a 23% year-on-year decline in adjusted EBITDA to €146.4 million, the consensus estimate of €123 million was exceeded. Stocksunder100 see HelloFresh’s Ready-to-Eat (RTE) business performing strongly, now accounting for around a quarter of total group revenue. Free cash flow also remains strong, despite the second quarter historically being a period of lower volume. If you’ve already stocked up big, it may be wise to take a small portion of the profits. However, we believe the stock has even more potential and therefore choose to hold the full position.

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03/04/2025

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